In the United States, Trump’s persistent hold on the Republican primaries

The primary held on August 16 in Wyoming promises to be one of the most emblematic of the series of battles being played out across the United States in view of the midterm elections, scheduled for November. In this conservative bastion, Liz Cheney, heiress of a Republican line prior to the arrival of Donald Trump, vice-president of the commission of inquiry into the January 6 assault on the Capitol, could well join the cohort of candidates. defeated by adversaries supported by the ex-president; its failure would confirm Donald Trump’s grip on the Republican apparatus and his influence on the base of the Grand Old Party, more than a year and a half after his departure from the White House.

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With a few exceptions, the candidates dubbed by former President Donald Trump to the positions of senators, elected members of the House of Representatives, governors or secretaries of state – in particular responsible for controlling the organization of elections – tend to prevail over their more critical opponents.

According to the Ballotpedia site, of the twenty Republican candidates for governor who had obtained the support of the billionaire, fifteen won; only three of them failed; two elections are to come. By November, seven states still have to hold Republican primaries.

A third of “election deniers”

The advantage held by the “Trumpists” is just as obvious for the senators: seventeen of the twenty-one candidates who received Trump’s favors prevailed. His influence with the candidates for the House of Representatives is even more massive: among the some 140 personalities who have benefited from his support, mostly outgoing elected officials, only five have, for the moment, been beaten.

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Donald Trump unsurprisingly chooses personalities who publicly share his views – but does not bother to get wet in the polls which seem to be lost in advance against the Democrats. Thus, according to the site specializing in the processing of data related to the elections FiveThirtyEight, at least 70% of “its” candidates ensure, like the former president, that the presidential election of 2020 was “stolen”. According to a count compiled on July 18 by this site, more than a third of the Republican candidates who will run in November for the Senate, the House, the posts of governor, attorney general or secretary of state, are, to varying degrees, “election deniers” (election deniers).

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